Wednesday, April 5, 2023

g-f(2)1041 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (4/5/2023), HAI, Measuring trends in Artificial Intelligence





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genioux Fact: The HAI 2023 AI Index report is Golden Knowledge (GK), which is an example of the highest quality of knowledge. 

HAI Facts: 
  • The AI Index is an independent initiative at the Stanford Institute for Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence (HAI), led by the AI Index Steering Committee, an interdisciplinary group of experts from across academia and industry. The annual report tracks, collates, distills, and visualizes data relating to artificial intelligence, enabling decision-makers to take meaningful action to advance AI responsibly and ethically with humans in mind.
  • The AI Index collaborates with many different organizations to track progress in artificial intelligence. These organizations include: the Center for Security and Emerging Technology at Georgetown University, LinkedIn, NetBase Quid, Lightcast, and McKinsey.

HAI Foundational Facts: 
  • AI has moved into its era of deployment; throughout 2022 and the beginning of 2023, new large-scale AI models have been released every month. These models, such as ChatGPT, Stable Diffusion, Whisper, and DALL-E 2, are capable of an increasingly broad range of tasks, from text manipulation and analysis, to image generation, to unprecedentedly good speech recognition.
  • These systems demonstrate capabilities in question answering and the generation of text, image, and code unimagined a decade ago, and they outperform the state of the art on many benchmarks, old and new.
  • However, they are prone to hallucination, routinely biased, and can be tricked into serving nefarious aims, highlighting the complicated ethical challenges associated with their deployment.
  • AI will continue to improve and, as such, become a greater part of all our lives. Given the increased presence of this technology and its potential for massive disruption, we should all begin thinking more critically about how exactly we want AI to be developed and deployed.

HAI Visionary Fact: We should also ask questions about who is deploying it—as our analysis shows, AI is increasingly defined by the actions of a small set of private sector actors, rather than a broader range of societal actors. This year’s AI Index paints a picture of where we are so far with AI, in order to highlight what might await us in the future.


HAI Current Fact: Although 2022 was the first year in a decade where private AI investment decreased, AI is still a topic of great interest to policymakers, industry leaders, researchers, and the public. Policymakers are talking about AI more than ever before. Industry leaders that have integrated AI into their businesses are seeing tangible cost and revenue benefits. The number of AI publications and collaborations continues to increase. And the public is forming sharper opinions about AI and which elements they like or dislike.


Jack Clark and Ray Perrault, Introduction to the AI Index Report 2023, From the Co-Directors, HAI, April 3, 2023.



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Top Ten Takeaways


1. Industry races ahead of academia. 
  • Until 2014, most significant machine learning models were released by academia. Since then, industry has taken over. In 2022, there were 32 significant industry-produced machine learning models compared to just three produced by academia. Building state-of-the-art AI systems increasingly requires large amounts of data, computer power, and money—resources that industry actors inherently possess in greater amounts compared to nonprofits and academia.

2. Performance saturation on traditional benchmarks. 
  • AI continued to post state-of-the-art results, but year-over-year improvement on many benchmarks continues to be marginal. Moreover, the speed at which benchmark saturation is being reached is increasing. However, new, more comprehensive benchmarking suites such as BIG-bench and HELM are being released.

3. AI is both helping and harming the environment. 
  • New research suggests that AI systems can have serious environmental impacts. According to Luccioni et al., 2022, BLOOM’s training run emitted 25 times more carbon than a single air traveler on a one-way trip from New York to San Francisco. Still, new reinforcement learning models like BCOOLER show that AI systems can be used to optimize energy usage.

4. The world’s best new scientist … AI? 
  • AI models are starting to rapidly accelerate scientific progress and in 2022 were used to aid hydrogen fusion, improve the efficiency of matrix manipulation, and generate new antibodies.

5. The number of incidents concerning the misuse of AI is rapidly rising. 
  • According to the AIAAIC database, which tracks incidents related to the ethical misuse of AI, the number of AI incidents and controversies has increased 26 times since 2012. Some notable incidents in 2022 included a deepfake video of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy surrendering and U.S. prisons using call-monitoring technology on their inmates. This growth is evidence of both greater use of AI technologies and awareness of misuse possibilities.


6. The demand for AI-related professional skills is increasing across virtually every American industrial sector. 
  • Across every sector in the United States for which there is data (with the exception of agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting), the number of AI related job postings has increased on average from 1.7% in 2021 to 1.9% in 2022. Employers in the United States are increasingly looking for workers with AI related skills

7. For the first time in the last decade, year-over-year private investment in AI decreased. 
  • Global AI private investment was $91.9 billion in 2022, which represented a 26.7% decrease since 2021. The total number of AI-related funding events as well as the number of newly funded AI companies likewise decreased. Still, during the last decade as a whole, AI investment has significantly increased. In 2022 the amount of private investment in AI was 18 times greater than it was in 2013

8. While the proportion of companies adopting AI has plateaued, the companies that have adopted AI continue to pull ahead. 
  • The proportion of companies adopting AI in 2022 has more than doubled since 2017, though it has plateaued in recent years between 50% and 60%, according to the results of McKinsey’s annual research survey. Organizations that have adopted AI report realizing meaningful cost decreases and revenue increases.

9. Policymaker interest in AI is on the rise. 
  • An AI Index analysis of the legislative records of 127 countries shows that the number of bills containing “artificial intelligence” that were passed into law grew from just 1 in 2016 to 37 in 2022. An analysis of the parliamentary records on AI in 81 countries likewise shows that mentions of AI in global legislative proceedings have increased nearly 6.5 times since 2016.

10. Chinese citizens are among those who feel the most positively about AI products and services. 
  • Americans … not so much. In a 2022 IPSOS survey, 78% of Chinese respondents (the highest proportion of surveyed countries) agreed with the statement that products and services using AI have more benefits than drawbacks. After Chinese respondents, those from Saudi Arabia (76%) and India (71%) felt the most positive about AI products. Only 35% of sampled Americans (among the lowest of surveyed countries) agreed that products and services using AI had more benefits than drawbacks.



References


How to Cite This Report 


Nestor Maslej, Loredana Fattorini, Erik Brynjolfsson, John Etchemendy, Katrina Ligett, Terah Lyons, James Manyika, Helen Ngo, Juan Carlos Niebles, Vanessa Parli, Yoav Shoham, Russell Wald, Jack Clark, and Raymond Perrault, “The AI Index 2023 Annual Report,” AI Index Steering Committee, Institute for Human-Centered AI, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, April 2023.



ABOUT THE AUTHORS


HAI Mission


The mission of HAI is to advance AI research, education, policy and practice to improve the human condition. Led by faculty from multiple departments across Stanford, research focuses on developing AI technologies inspired by human intelligence; studying, forecasting and guiding the human and societal impact of AI; and designing and creating AI applications that augment human capabilities. Through the education work of the institute, students and leaders at all stages gain a range of AI fundamentals and perspectives. At the same time, the policy work of HAI fosters regional and national discussions that lead to direct legislative impact.

What’s unique about HAI is that it balances diverse expertise and integration of AI across human-centered systems and applications in a setting that could only be offered by Stanford University. Stanford’s seven leading schools on the same campus, including a world-renown computer science department, offer HAI access to multidisciplinary research from top scholars.

AI has the potential to affect every aspect of our lives and our civilization, from social bonds and ethics to the economy and healthcare, education and government. The faculty and staff of HAI are engaging not only leading-edge scientists, but scholars trying to make sense of social movements, educators enhancing pedagogy, lawyers and legislators working to protect rights and improve institutions, and artists trying to bring a humanistic sensibility to the world in which we live. Together we’re helping build the future of AI.



Some relevant characteristics of this "genioux fact"

  • BOMSHELL KNOWLEDGE
  • Category 2: The Big Picture of the Digital Age
  • [genioux fact deduced or extracted from HAI]
  • This is a “genioux fact fast solution.”
  • Tag Opportunities to those travelling at high speed on GKPath
  • Type of essential knowledge of this “genioux fact”: Essential Analyzed Knowledge (EAK).
  • Type of validity of the "genioux fact". 

    • Exceptional quality report + Supported by the knowledge of one or more experts.



References


“genioux facts”: The online programme on "MASTERING THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE”, g-f(2)1041, Fernando Machuca, April 5, 2023, Genioux.com Corporation.


ABOUT THE AUTHORS


PhD with awarded honors in computer science in France

Fernando is the director of "genioux facts". He is the entrepreneur, researcher and professor who has a disruptive proposal in The Digital Age to improve the world and reduce poverty + ignorance + violence. A critical piece of the solution puzzle is "genioux facts". The Innovation Value of "genioux facts" is exceptional for individuals, companies and any kind of organization.




The 100 most recent "genioux facts"


  • Some relevant and recent "genioux facts" from the g-f golden knowledge pyramid to master the big picture of the digital age. 
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    2. g-f(2)1039 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (4/4/2023), g-f EGK, Digital-Akademie, Digital Transformation - The Big Picture (Edition 2022)
    3. g-f(2)1038 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (4/4/2023), geniouxfacts, 10 GK Containers in Digital Transformation
    4. g-f(2)1037 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (4/3/2023), Bloomberg, Why the AI Economy Might Be Better for Everyone
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    6. g-f(2)1035 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (4/2/2023), geniouxfacts, The treasure of the digital age allows you to upgrade your brain to achieve your greatness
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    9. g-f(2)1032 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/31/2023), HBR, Generative AI Will Enhance — not Erase — Customer Service Jobs
    10. g-f(2)1031 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/31/2023), MIT SMR, How Northwestern Mutual Embraces AI
    11. g-f(2)1030 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/30/2023), Phys.org, How is AI changing the way we write and create?
    12. g-f(2)1029 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/30/2023), HGSE, Big Picture Thinking: How to educate the whole person for an interconnected world
    13. g-f(2)1028 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/29/2023), MITSMR, A One-Stop Data Shop: The Lego Group’s Anders Butzbach Christensen
    14. g-f(2)1027 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/29/2023), Forbes, Leadership In The Age Of AI: How To Build Your AI Literacy
    15. g-f(2)1026 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/29/2023), geniouxfacts, 10 GK Containers in Digital Transformation
    16. g-f(2)1025 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/28/2023), geniouxfacts, 10 Golden Knowledge (GK) Containers in AI
    17. g-f(2)1024 geniouxfacts, THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE: The Key Findings of Our Research (03/26/2023)
    18. g-f(2)1023 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/26/2023), geniouxfacts, Steve Denning masters the digital age
    19. g-f(2)1022 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/26/2023), geniouxfacts, “genioux facts” are the building blocks of Golden Knowledge (GK) that can help create a better world
    20. g-f(2)1021 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/24/2023), geniouxfacts, 10 Golden Knowledge (GK) Containers in AI
    21. g-f(2)1020 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/23/2023), NYT, Chatbot Start-Up Character.AI Valued at $1 Billion in New Funding Round
    22. g-f(2)1019 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/23/2023), geniouxfacts, The extraordinarily erratic behavior of two world leaders, Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin
    23. g-f(2)1018 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/23/2023), Bill Gates, The Age of AI has begun
    24. g-f(2)1017 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/22/2023), geniouxfacts, State-of-the-art g-f fishing in artificial intelligence (AI), 12:01 PM
    25. g-f(2)1016 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/22/2023), NVIDIA, NVIDIA Launches Inference Platforms for Large Language Models and Generative AI Workloads
    26. g-f(2)1015 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/22/2023), MIT Technology Review, How AI experts are using GPT-4
    27. g-f(2)1014 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/21/2023), geniouxfacts, AI drives cascade of digital transformations!
    28. g-f(2)1013 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/21/2023), Microsoft, Create images with your words – Bing Image Creator comes to the new Bing
    29. g-f(2)1012 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/21/2023), Google, Try Bard and share your feedback
    30. g-f(2)1011 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/21/2023), McKinsey, Generative AI is here: How tools like ChatGPT could change your business
    31. g-f(2)1010 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/21/2023), Forrester, Forrester: Ignoring Generative AI Will Be A Costly Mistake For Enterprises
    32. g-f(2)1009 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/20/2023), For Steve Ballmer, Building An NBA Champion Is Harder Than Running Microsoft But More Fun
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    34. g-f(2)1007 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/20/2023), HBR, Using Technology to Create a Better Customer Experience
    35. g-f(2)1006 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/19/2023), Quanta magazine, The Unpredictable Abilities Emerging From Large AI Models
    36. g-f(2)1005 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/19/2023), Bloomberg, Google Is Making Breakthroughs Much Bigger Than AI
    37. g-f(2)1004 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/18/2023), The g-f New World News (3/17/2023, 2)
    38. g-f(2)1003 Lighthouse of the big picture of the digital age (3/17/2023), Your growth skyrockets with three addends: UAI + AI + PDT
    39. g-f(2)1002 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/16/2023), NYT, Microsoft and Google Unveil A.I. Tools for Businesses
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    41. g-f(2)1000 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/15/2023), geniouxfacts, Knowledge is GOLD!
    42. g-f(2)999 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE (3/14/2023), geniouxfacts, Brilliant strategic move by Google making visible an arsenal of benefits with its AI
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    50. g-f(2)991 THE NEW WORLD (3/10/2023), geniouxfacts, 10 Golden Knowledge (GK) Containers on Digital Transformation (DT)
    51. g-f(2)990 Lighthouse of the big picture of the digital age (3/10/2023), Your Personal Digital Transformation (PDT) is potentially disruptive!
    52. g-f(2)989 Lighthouse of the big picture of the digital age (3/10/2023), Digital transformation is becoming more potentially disruptive every day
    53. g-f(2)988 Lighthouse of the big picture of the digital age (3/9/2023), The "Positive Disruption: AI Revolution" has accelerated
    54. g-f(2)987 THE NEW WORLD (3/8/2023), WSJ, How Google Became Cautious of AI and Gave Microsoft an Opening
    55. g-f(2)986 Lighthouse of the big picture of the digital age (3/8/2023), The New World is mostly colonized by global tech leaders
    56. g-f(2)985 Lighthouse of the big picture of the digital age (3/8/2023), The fundamental CHALLENGE is to find the right balance between running and transforming!
    57. g-f(2)984 Lighthouse of the big picture of the digital age (3/8/2023), We are in the emerging new age of transformation
    58. g-f(2)983 Lighthouse of the big picture of the digital age (3/6/2023), THE NEW WORLD IS TRANSFORMATION
    59. g-f(2)982 THE g-f NEW WORLD (1/30/2023), geniouxfacts, Classified and unclassified “genioux facts” for a disrupted g-f New World
    60. g-f(2)981 THE NEW WORLD (7/10/2022), geniouxfacts, The story of Xi and Putin is that of two leaders with delusions of grandeur and LOSING STRATEGIES
    61. g-f(2)980 THE NEW WORLD (4/7/2022), geniouxfacts, How Xi or Putin, against all odds, reinvent themselves on the right side of history
    62. g-f(2)979 THE NEW WORLD (3/31/2022), geniouxfacts, Essential Fact 8: The New World Is the Expression of FREEDOM
    63. g-f(2)978 THE NEW WORLD (3/22/2022), Essential Fact 7: To win the transformation game China-Russia proposes TERROR
    64. g-f(2)977 THE NEW WORLD (3/20/2022), geniouxfacts, Essential Fact 6: In the marvelous New World there is no place for terrorism
    65. g-f(2)976 THE NEW WORLD (3/18/2022), geniouxfacts, Essential Fact 5: Disrupted in the New World, could autocratic Chinese rule be reinvented?
    66. g-f(2)975 THE NEW WORLD (3/17/2022), geniouxfacts, Essential Fact 4: Russian and Chinese autocratic governments have been disrupted in the New World
    67. g-f(2)974 THE NEW WORLD (3/16/2022), geniouxfacts, Essential Fact 3: China (Xi Jinping) has destroyed the trust of its best partners
    68. g-f(2)973 THE NEW WORLD (3/15/2022), geniouxfacts, Essential Fact 2: The people of Russia are fabulous, their autocratic rule is a disgrace
    69. g-f(2)972 THE NEW WORLD (3/15/2022), geniouxfacts, Essential Fact 1: The people of China are fabulous, not their autocratic government
    70. g-f(2)971 THE NEW WORLD (3/12/2022), geniouxfacts, Demonic China-Russia alliance sparked Putin's senseless war
    71. g-f(2)970 THE NEW WORLD NEWS (3/7/2022), geniouxfacts, The 10 most read "genioux facts" of the month
    72. g-f(2)969 THE NEW WORLD NEWS (3/7/2022), geniouxfacts, The 10 most read "genioux facts" of the week
    73. g-f(2)968 THE NEW WORLD (3/2/2022), geniouxfacts, How humans learned to value the price of freedom
    74. g-f(2)967 THE NEW WORLD (3/1/2022), geniouxfacts, Putin's war is the war of ignorance in the New World
    75. g-f(2)966 THE NEW WORLD NEWS (2/27/2022), geniouxfacts, The 10 most read "genioux facts" of the month
    76. g-f(2)965 THE NEW WORLD NEWS (2/27/2022), geniouxfacts, The 10 most read "genioux facts" of the week
    77. g-f(2)964 THE NEW WORLD NEWS (2/27/2022), Media, Putin's wise thing is to stop this senseless war
    78. g-f(2)963 THE NEW WORLD NEWS (2/26/2022), CNN + Fox Business, Putin's war was launched on a runway of lies
    79. g-f(2)962 THE NEW WORLD NEWS (2/24/2022), WSJ, Putin’s New World Disorder
    80. g-f(2)961 THE NEW WORLD (2/25/2022), geniouxfacts, Leaders who transcend do not live in vicious circles of ignorance
    81. g-f(2)960 THE NEW WORLD (2/24/2022), msn, TIME, Putin Wants Revenge Not Just Against Ukraine But the U.S. And Its Allies
    82. g-f(2)959 THE NEW WORLD (2/23/2022), geniouxfacts, The "g-f story" of how leaders prove their greatness in the New World
    83. g-f(2)958 THE NEW WORLD (2/23/2022), geniouxfacts, The "g-f story" of how Putin can overcome his vicious circle of ignorance
    84. g-f(2)957 THE NEW WORLD (2/22/2022), geniouxfacts, The "g-f story" of the fabulous treasure of the New World
    85. g-f(2)956 THE NEW WORLD NEWS (2/21/2022), geniouxfacts, The list of “genioux facts" of the day
    86. g-f(2)955 THE NEW WORLD (2/21/2022), WSJ, Why Apple, Amazon and Google Are Uniting on Smart-Home Tech: Matter Explained
    87. g-f(2)954 THE NEW WORLD (2/21/2022), HBR, In a Hybrid World, Your Tech Defines Employee Experience
    88. g-f(2)953 THE NEW WORLD (2/21/2022), MIT SMR, Creating Good Jobs
    89. g-f(2)952 THE NEW WORLD (2/21/2022), geniouxfacts, Exceptional Golden Knowledge (GK) by Stephen Covey: Work on your paradigms!
    90. g-f(2)951 THE NEW WORLD (2/21/2022), s+b, PwC, Leaders should revisit the works of three corporate culture pioneers
    91. g-f(2)950 THE NEW WORLD NEWS (2/20/2022), geniouxfacts, The 10 most read "genioux facts" of the month
    92. g-f(2)949 THE NEW WORLD NEWS (2/20/2022), geniouxfacts, The 10 most read "genioux facts" of the week
    93. g-f(2)948 THE NEW WORLD (2/19/2022), PwC, The "g-f story" of going beyond digital to win
    94. g-f(2)947 THE NEW WORLD (2/18/2022), PwC + s+b, Seven imperatives for moving beyond digital
    95. g-f(2)946 THE NEW WORLD (2/18/2022), MIT SMR, Top Performers Have a Superpower: Happiness
    96. g-f(2)945 THE NEW WORLD (2/18/2022), MIT SMR, Companies Are Making Serious Money With AI
    97. g-f(2)944 THE NEW WORLD NEWS (2/18/2022), geniouxfacts, The Golden Knowledge (GK) Accelerator Line for the Wise Colonization
    98. g-f(2)943 THE NEW WORLD (2/17/2022), The story of the New World in a single sentence
    99. g-f(2)942 THE NEW WORLD (2/16/2022), The Story of the New World in a “g-f KBP” Chart
    100. g-f(2)941 THE NEW WORLD (2/16/2022), The “g-f stories” to your greatness and to help build a much better world for all
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