g-f(2)2331 Winning the New Cold War: A Roadmap for U.S. Victory Over China

 

genioux Fact post by Fernando Machuca and Claude

Introduction:

In this thought-provoking article, Matt Pottinger and Mike Gallagher argue that the United States must adopt a more assertive stance in its competition with China. They contend that the current approach of managing competition is insufficient and that the U.S. should aim to win the contest by imposing costs on China's destabilizing actions, strengthening alliances, and reducing economic dependence on Beijing. The authors draw parallels between the current situation and the Cold War, emphasizing the need for clarity, confrontation, and a comprehensive strategy to achieve victory.

genioux GK Nugget:

"The United States shouldn't manage the competition with China; it should win it." — Matt Pottinger and Mike Gallagher, May/June 2024

genioux Foundational Fact:

The Biden administration's policy of "managing competition" with China risks prioritizing short-term stability over long-term security, as Beijing pursues global initiatives designed to undermine the West and establish an antidemocratic order. To win the competition, the United States must adopt a more confrontational approach, imposing costs on China's malevolent actions, strengthening alliances, and reducing economic dependence on Beijing.

The 10 Most Relevant genioux Facts:

1. China is pursuing global initiatives to disintegrate the West and establish an antidemocratic order.
2. The U.S. should aim to win the competition with China, not merely manage it.
3. Achieving victory requires greater friction in U.S.-Chinese relations and confrontational policies.
4. The current approach resembles the failed détente policies of the 1970s with the Soviet Union.
5. The U.S. must speak candidly about China's threats and rapidly increase defense capabilities.
6. Washington should sever China's access to Western technology and frustrate its military buildup.
7. The U.S. should engage in intensive diplomacy with Beijing only from a position of strength.
8. The U.S. must rearm its military, reduce China's economic leverage, and recruit a broader coalition.
9. Winning the competition requires convincing China that it is on a path to lose.
10. The desired end state is a China that can chart its own course free from communist dictatorship.

Conclusion:

Pottinger and Gallagher make a compelling case for the United States to adopt a more assertive approach in its competition with China. They argue that the current policy of managing competition is insufficient and risks allowing Beijing to continue its destabilizing actions unchecked. Drawing lessons from the Cold War, the authors propose a comprehensive strategy that includes confronting China's malevolent behavior, strengthening alliances, reducing economic dependence, and bolstering U.S. military capabilities. Ultimately, they contend that the United States must aim to win the competition by convincing China that it is on a path to lose, paving the way for a future in which the Chinese people can explore new models of development and governance free from the repressive rule of the Chinese Communist Party.

REFERENCES

The g-f GK Context

Matt Pottinger and Mike Gallagher, No Substitute for Victory, Foreign Affairs, May/June 2024, Volume 103, Number 3, Published on April 10, 2024.

ABOUT THE AUTHORS

MATT POTTINGER served as U.S. Deputy National Security Adviser from 2019 to 2021 and as Senior Director for Asia on the National Security Council from 2017 to 2019. He is a co-author and editor of the forthcoming book The Boiling Moat: Urgent Steps to Defend Taiwan.

MIKE GALLAGHER served as U.S. Representative from Wisconsin from 2017 to 2024 and chaired the House Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party.

Classical Summary: 

In their article "No Substitute for Victory: America's Competition With China Must Be Won, Not Managed," Matt Pottinger and Mike Gallagher argue that the United States must adopt a more assertive approach in its competition with China. They contend that the Biden administration's current policy of managing competition is insufficient and risks allowing Beijing to continue its destabilizing actions unchecked. The authors draw parallels between the present situation and the failed détente policies of the 1970s with the Soviet Union, emphasizing the need for clarity, confrontation, and a comprehensive strategy to achieve victory.

Pottinger and Gallagher assert that China is pursuing global initiatives designed to undermine the West and establish an antidemocratic order. They argue that the United States should aim to win the competition, not merely manage it, by imposing costs on China's malevolent actions, strengthening alliances, and reducing economic dependence on Beijing. The authors propose a three-pronged approach: rearming the U.S. military, reducing China's economic leverage, and recruiting a broader coalition to confront China.

The article highlights the importance of speaking candidly about China's threats, rapidly increasing U.S. defense capabilities, and severing China's access to Western technology to frustrate its military buildup. Pottinger and Gallagher emphasize that intensive diplomacy with Beijing should only be pursued from a position of strength. They argue that winning the competition requires convincing China that it is on a path to lose, ultimately paving the way for a future in which the Chinese people can explore new models of development and governance free from the repressive rule of the Chinese Communist Party.

In conclusion, Pottinger and Gallagher make a compelling case for the United States to adopt a more assertive and comprehensive approach in its competition with China. They argue that the current policy of managing competition is insufficient and that the United States must aim to win by confronting China's destabilizing behavior, strengthening alliances, reducing economic dependence, and bolstering its military capabilities.

Matt Pottinger

Matt Pottinger is an American former journalist and U.S. Marine Corps officer who served as the United States Deputy National Security Advisor from 2019 to 2021⁵⁶⁷⁸. He coordinated the full spectrum of national security policy during his tenure⁶⁷⁸. 

Before that, he served as the Senior Director for Asia on the National Security Council from 2017 to 2019⁵⁶⁷⁸. In this role, he led the administration’s work on the Indo-Pacific region, particularly its shift on China policy⁶⁷⁸.

Pottinger is also a co-author and editor of the forthcoming book "The Boiling Moat: Urgent Steps to Defend Taiwan"¹²³⁴. The book argues that a robust military strategy is essential for countering Beijing’s aggression¹²³⁴. It outlines a workable military strategy for Taiwan, the United States, Japan, Australia, and Europe to pursue collectively, urging quick adoption to avert a devastating war¹²³⁴. The authors stress that preventing China’s coercive annexation of Taiwan requires democracies to demonstrate not just the means but also the will to effectively resist¹². The book is set to be released on July 1, 2024¹.

Source: Conversation with Bing, 5/4/2024

(1) Matthew Pottinger - Wikipedia. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Matthew_Pottinger.

(2) Matt Pottinger, Former Deputy National Security Advisor. https://politicalscience.byu.edu/matt-pottinger-former-deputy-national-security-advisor-2024-04-03.

(3) Matt Pottinger is Chairman of the China Program at the Foundation for .... https://docs.house.gov/meetings/FA/FA00/20240117/116738/HHRG-118-FA00-Bio-PottingerM-20240117.pdf.

(4) Matt Pottinger - Foreign Policy Research Institute. https://www.fpri.org/contributor/matt-pottinger/.

(5) The Boiling Moat: Urgent Steps to Defend Taiwan: Pottinger, Matt .... https://www.amazon.com/Boiling-Moat-Urgent-Defend-Taiwan/dp/0817926453.

(6) The Boiling Moat: Urgent Steps to Defend Taiwan. https://www.hoover.org/research/boiling-moat-urgent-steps-defend-taiwan.

(7) The Boiling Moat | Independent Publishers Group. https://www.ipgbook.com/the-boiling-moat-products-9780817926458.php.

(8) The Boiling Moat: Urgent Steps to Defend Taiwan Paperback - Amazon.co.uk. https://www.amazon.co.uk/Boiling-Moat-Urgent-Defend-Taiwan/dp/0817926453.

(9) Matt Pottinger | Hoover Institution. https://www.hoover.org/profiles/matt-pottinger.

Michael Gallagher

Mike Gallagher served as a U.S. Representative from Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District from 2017 to 2024²³. He was a member of the Republican Party². Gallagher resigned from his position on April 20, 2024¹². His decision to resign was influenced by threats and swatting targeted at his family¹.

During his tenure, Gallagher chaired the House Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party²¹³¹⁴. This committee was established to assess the myriad military, economic, and technological challenges posed by China¹². Gallagher's agenda for the panel included examining ways to beef up U.S. military posture, end dependencies on China in supply chains, curtail theft of U.S. intellectual property, and highlight Beijing’s authoritarian state¹⁵.

In addition to his political career, Mike Gallagher co-authored an article titled "No Substitute for Victory" published in Foreign Affairs in May/June 2024⁵. The article argues that America's competition with China must be won, not just managed⁵. It criticizes the Biden administration's policy of "managing competition" with Beijing, suggesting it prioritizes short-term stability over long-term victory⁵. The authors advocate for a more confrontational approach, including imposing costs on Chinese leader Xi Jinping for his policy of fostering global chaos, increasing U.S. defense capabilities, severing China’s access to Western technology, and pursuing intensive diplomacy with Beijing only from a position of American strength⁵.

Source: Conversation with Bing, 5/4/2024

(1) Mike Gallagher (American politician) - Wikipedia. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mike_Gallagher_%28American_politician%29.

(2) Michael Gallagher (Wisconsin) - Ballotpedia. https://ballotpedia.org/Michael_Gallagher_%28Wisconsin%29.

(3) House Republican cites threats and swatting of family as reasons for .... https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/apr/18/mike-gallagher-congress-quits-threats-swatting.

(4) Committees and Caucuses | Congressman Mike Gallagher. https://gallagher.house.gov/about/committees-and-caucuses.

(5) About Mike | Congressman Mike Gallagher. https://gallagher.house.gov/about.

(6) House establishes tough-on-China select committee - POLITICO. https://www.politico.com/news/2023/01/10/house-china-select-committee-00077312.

(7) Gallagher Outlines Vision for Select Committee on China. https://gallagher.house.gov/media/press-releases/gallagher-outlines-vision-select-committee-china.

(8) No Substitute for Victory - Foreign Affairs. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/no-substitute-victory-pottinger-gallagher.

(9) Mike Gallagher, Representative for Wisconsin's 8th ... - GovTrack.us. https://www.govtrack.us/congress/members/mike_gallagher/412731.

(10) No Substitute for Victory Against China | RealClearWorld. https://www.realclearworld.com/2024/04/10/no_substitute_for_victory_against_china_1024128.html.

(11) Matt Pottinger and Rep. Mike Gallagher Issue Insane Diatribe Calling .... https://eir.news/2024/04/news/matt-pottinger-and-rep-mike-gallagher-issue-insane-diatribe-calling-for-war-on-china/.

(12) No Substitute for Victory: America’s Competition With China Must Be Won .... https://selectcommitteeontheccp.house.gov/media/editorial/no-substitute-victory-americas-competition-china-must-be-won-not-managed.

(13) The US is going about its competition with China all wrong. https://www.scmp.com/opinion/china-opinion/article/3258660/us-going-about-its-competition-china-all-wrong.

(14) Leadership Shift in the House China Select Committee Could Cripple Congress’ Anti-China Momentum. https://thediplomat.com/2024/04/leadership-shift-in-the-house-china-select-committee-could-cripple-congress-anti-china-momentum/.

(15) Select Committee on the CCP. https://selectcommitteeontheccp.house.gov/.

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Categorization

This genioux Fact post is classified as Bombshell Knowledge which means: The game-changer that reshapes your perspective, leaving you exclaiming, "Wow, I had no idea!"

Type: Bombshell Knowledge, Free Speech

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REFERENCES

“genioux facts”: The online program on "MASTERING THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE”, g-f(2)2331, Fernando Machuca and Claude, May 4, 2024, Genioux.com Corporation.

The genioux facts program has established a robust foundation of over 2330 Big Picture of the Digital Age posts [g-f(2)1 - g-f(2)2330].

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