Thursday, February 22, 2024

g-f(2)2002 The Defeat Behind the Facade: Unmasking Putin's Failed Strategy in Ukraine


genioux Fact post by Fernando Machuca and ChatGPT


As the second anniversary of Russia's invasion of Ukraine looms, the prevailing narrative suggests that time favors President Vladimir Putin, with Ukraine's prospects seemingly dwindling in the face of Russian determination. However, Rajan Menon argues that Putin's war has already led to significant setbacks, ultimately ensuring that Ukraine's independence and alignment with the West are irreversible.

genioux GK Nugget:

"Despite the military conflict and territorial struggles, Putin's war in Ukraine has backfired, leading to unintended consequences that undermine Russia's strategic goals." — Fernando Machuca and ChatGPT

genioux Foundational Fact:

The fundamental purpose of Putin's war was to maintain Ukraine within Russia's sphere of influence, yet the invasion has spurred Ukrainian nationalism and strengthened ties with the West, eroding Moscow's grip on the region.

10 Relevant genioux Facts:

  1. Ukraine's trajectory towards the West has accelerated in the aftermath of Russia's invasion, with a clear shift in favor of Western languages and cultural affiliations among its citizens.
  2. Despite historical divisions, Ukrainian nationalism has transcended regional and linguistic boundaries, fostering a unified resistance against Russian encroachment.
  3. Europe, galvanized by Russia's aggression, has rallied behind Ukraine, demonstrating a newfound solidarity and commitment to countering Putin's ambitions.
  4. The European Union's support for Ukraine has been resolute, with steps towards Ukrainian membership signaling a significant geopolitical shift.
  5. Russia's invasion has inadvertently prompted neighboring countries like Finland and Sweden to seek NATO membership, further isolating Russia and enhancing Western security.
  6. NATO allies have responded to Russia's aggression by increasing military spending and bolstering their defense capabilities, signaling a collective readiness to confront Russian aggression.
  7. Even traditionally cautious nations like Germany have acknowledged Russia's growing threat, leading to a reevaluation of defense policies and security priorities.
  8. Despite facing challenges, Ukraine's aspirations for NATO membership persist, presenting a formidable obstacle to Putin's ambitions for regional dominance.
  9. Ukraine's strategic importance extends beyond territorial boundaries, with its sizable army and defense ties with the West solidifying its role as a key player in European security.
  10. Putin's fixation on Ukraine as a crucial asset has ironically ensured that his war efforts will ultimately fail to achieve their intended objectives, leaving Ukraine's future beyond Russia's grasp.


In his pursuit of Ukrainian territory and influence, Putin has unwittingly sparked a series of events that have strengthened Ukraine's ties with the West and undermined Russia's strategic position. Despite the challenges ahead, the trajectory is clear: Putin's ambitions in Ukraine are doomed to fail.


The g-f GK Article

Rajan Menon, Putin Has Already Lost, The New York Times, February 22, 2024.

Rajan Menon

Rajan Menon is the Director of the Grand Strategy program at Defense Priorities, an American foreign policy think tank¹. He is also the Anne and Bernard Spitzer Chair Emeritus in International Relations at the Powell School, City College of New York/City University of New York¹. In addition, he is a Senior Research Scholar at the Saltzman Institute of War and Peace Studies, Columbia University, and a Non-Resident Scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace¹.

Menon has been a fellow at various institutions, including the Carnegie Council on Ethics in International Affairs, the New America Foundation, the Carnegie Corporation, the Kennan Institute, Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars (the Wilson Center), and the Council on Foreign Relations¹. His areas of expertise include grand strategy, Russia, Ukraine, NATO, U.S. alliances, Afghanistan, the Middle East, humanitarian intervention, arms control, nuclear weapons, China, Taiwan, and diplomacy¹.

He has written several books, including "Soviet Power and the Third World", "The End of Alliances", "Conflict in Ukraine: The Unwinding of the Post-Cold War Order", and "The Conceit of Humanitarian Intervention"¹. His next book, "Russia After Putin", co-authored with Eugene B. Rumer, is under contract to Oxford University Press¹. Menon's work has been published in numerous academic journals and he has written for various media outlets, including The New York Times, The Washington Post, Foreign Affairs, Financial Times, Los Angeles Times, The Boston Globe, The Guardian, Chicago Tribune, Boston Review, Foreign Policy, and The National Interest¹.

Source: Conversation with Bing, 2/22/2024

(1) Rajan Menon — Defense Priorities.

(2) Grand Strategy — Defense Priorities.

(3) Rajan Menon: For Security, Ukraine Needs an Army, the West—and China.

(4) Rajan Menon – Foreign Policy.

Copilot's Summary

The article "Putin Has Already Lost" from The New York Times discusses the strategic, operational, and tactical losses Russia has faced in the conflict with Ukraine¹². U.S. General Mark Milley stated that Russia is "paying an enormous price on the battlefield" in Ukraine¹. Despite initial expectations of a quick victory, President Vladimir Putin's forces have not been able to defeat Ukraine¹. The article suggests that these military setbacks, along with the economic and diplomatic costs, have led to a strategic loss for Russia¹². For a comprehensive understanding, I recommend reading the full article on The New York Times' website.

Source: Conversation with Bing, 2/22/2024

(1) Russia-Ukraine war: Putin has already lost ‘strategically ....

(2) One Year On, Why Putin Has Already Lost the War.

(3) Putin 'Has Already Lost' War: Former Ukraine President ... - Newsweek.

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The genioux facts program has established a robust foundation of over 2001 Big Picture of the Digital Age posts [g-f(2)1 - g-f(2)2001].

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