VIRAL KNOWLEDGE: The “genioux facts” knowledge news
- Amid the dire Covid warnings, one crucial fact has been largely ignored: Cases are down 77% over the past six weeks.
- If a medication slashed cases by 77%, we’d call it a miracle pill. Why is the number of cases plummeting much faster than experts predicted?
- In large part because natural immunity from prior infection is far more common than can be measured by testing.
- Applying a time-weighted case capture average of 1 in 6.5 to the cumulative 28 million confirmed cases would mean about 55% of Americans have natural immunity.
- Former Food and Drug Commissioner Scott Gottlieb estimates 250 million doses will have been delivered to some 150 million people by the end of March.
- There is reason to think the country is racing toward an extremely low level of infection.
- At the current trajectory, I expect Covid will be mostly gone by April, allowing Americans to resume normal life.
- Dr. Makary is a professor at the Johns Hopkins School of Medicine and Bloomberg School of Public Health, chief medical adviser to Sesame Care, and author of “The Price We Pay.”
- My prediction that Covid-19 will be mostly gone by April is based on laboratory data, mathematical data, published literature and conversations with experts.
- Herd immunity has been well-documented in the Brazilian city of Manaus, where researchers in the Lancet reported the prevalence of prior Covid-19 infection to be 76%, resulting in a significant slowing of the infection.
Category 2: The Big Picture of the Digital Age
[genioux fact produced, deduced or extracted from WSJ]
Type of essential knowledge of this “genioux fact”: Essential Deduced and Extracted Knowledge (EDEK).
Type of validity of the "genioux fact".
- Inherited from sources + Supported by the knowledge of one or more experts + Supported by research.
Authors of the genioux fact
ABOUT THE AUTHORS
- He has written for The Wall Street Journal, USA Today, TIME, Newsweek, and CNN, and appears on NBC and Fox News.
- He is the author of The Price We Pay, a book about how business leaders and families can lower their health care costs and the grass-roots movement to restore medicine to its mission.
- Dr. Makary practices surgical oncology and gastrointestinal surgery at the Johns Hopkins Hospital and teaches public health policy at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.
- Makary works in health care innovation, quality measurement science, frail and vulnerable populations, and public health disparities.
- He served in leadership roles at the United Nations World Health Organization for the Safe Surgery Saves Lives initiative.
- Makary was named one of the most influential people in healthcare by Health Magazine.
- In 2018, Makary was elected to the National Academy of Medicine.