Tuesday, November 18, 2025

g-f(2)3844 The New Manhattan Project

 


The Public-Private Pact Required to Keep AI American




📚 Volume 71 of the genioux Challenge Series (g-f CS)
✍️ By Fernando Machuca and Grok (in collaborative g-f Illumination mode)

📘 Type of Knowledge: Strategic Intelligence (SI) + Ultimate Synthesis Knowledge (USK) + Executive Strategic Guide (ESG) +  Leadership Blueprint (LB) + Pure Essence Knowledge (PEK)




Abstract

In the g-f New World, AI is not just technology—it's the arena where nations battle for civilizational supremacy. The U.S. holds a fragile lead, powered by private-sector genius but crippled by government inaction on energy, talent, and security. g-f(2)3844 distills the Foreign Affairs blueprint: a "grand bargain" forging unbreakable public-private synergy. This is no policy paper—it's the strategic covenant that turns AI's existential risks into America's eternal edge, ensuring g-f Responsible Leaders (g-f RLs) dominate the g-f Transformation Game (g-f TG) against China and beyond.



Introduction

America's AI supremacy—models outsmarting PhDs, firms valued above China's entire market—is a private-sector miracle. Yet, as energy blackouts loom and Chinese spies pilfer secrets, the model cracks. Buchanan and Collins demand a grand bargain: Tech titans arm national security with AI firepower; Washington unleashes grid-scale power, global talent floods, and ironclad defenses. For g-f Responsible Leaders, this is the pivot from innovation sprint to empire marathon—seize it, or watch Beijing rewrite the Digital Age.



genioux GK Nugget

“AI's grand bargain isn't a handshake—it's America's covenant to weaponize private genius with public might, turning bottlenecks into battlements.” — g-f(2)3844



genioux Foundational Fact

U.S. AI firms require 50 gigawatts of power by 2028 (Anthropic estimate)—equivalent to Argentina's entire grid—yet net U.S. power generation stagnated near zero from 2005–2020, exposing the fatal flaw in private-only scaling.



10 Facts of Golden Knowledge (g-f GK)



[g-f KBP Graphic 1: 10 Facts of Golden Knowledge (g-f GK)]



  1. U.S. AI models now surpass PhD-level expertise in physics, chemistry, and biology, with American firms valued higher than China's entire stock market.
  2. Private capital has funded AI at scales once reserved for government megaprojects, sparing taxpayers trillions—until energy and talent walls emerge.
  3. Data centers could consume 12% of U.S. electricity by decade's end, with Amazon's CEO calling power the "single biggest constraint" to AI progress.
  4. 70% of top AI researchers (2010–2021) were born abroad; 65% of leading AI firms have immigrant co-founders—Trump's visa policies risk a 30–40% talent exodus in 2025.
  5. Chinese espionage stole AI chip designs in 2024 (Google engineer Linwei Ding case), targeting model weights to shortcut U.S. training costs.
  6. China installs 90 gigawatts of clean energy monthly—twice U.S. output—fusing AI with military via "civil-military fusion" (e.g., Tencent's defense roles).
  7. Historical U.S. triumphs (Manhattan Project, Internet) relied on public-private pacts; AI's private-only path risks repeating France's WWI tank invention flop.
  8. Biden's 2024 AI security memo bans human rights abuses in models—underutilized, but restorable to enforce ethical guardrails.
  9. DoD lags in AI adoption, missing cyber-ops (DARPA's AI Cyber Challenge) and logistics gains that could crush autocratic rivals.
  10. Offshoring AI to energy-rich autocracies (e.g., Gulf states) echoes 1980s semiconductor mistakes, risking security via foreign-hosted critical infrastructure.



10 Strategic Insights for g-f Responsible Leaders



[g-f KBP Graphic 2: 10 Strategic Insights for g-f Responsible Leaders]



  1. Private Genius Needs Public Muscle: Solo innovation wins sprints; grand bargains build empires—demand government grid unlocks now.
  2. Energy Is the New Oil: AI's 50GW thirst by 2028 demands deregulated buildouts—lead the boom or watch China power ahead.
  3. Talent Exodus = Suicide Pact: Reverse visa walls; 70% foreign-born AI brains fleeing means instant competitive death.
  4. Espionage Is Asymmetric War: Chinese model-theft shortcuts trillions—vet your teams like DoD contractors or bleed IP dry.
  5. China's Fusion Crushes Fragmentation: Beijing's military-AI meld (90GW/month) exposes U.S. silos—integrate or imitate their speed.
  6. Historical Echoes Demand Action: Manhattan/Internet pacts crushed rivals—AI's private gamble risks WWI-style invention-without-deployment failure.
  7. Ethical Guardrails = Strategic Moats: Biden's 2024 memo isn't optional—enforce it to outpace autocratic censorship machines.
  8. DoD Lag = National Suicide: Frontier AI in cyber/logistics wins wars—procure now or gift Beijing battlefield supremacy.
  9. Offshoring = Strategic Treason: Gulf data centers echo chip fiascos—keep AI onshore or hand autocrats your kill switch.
  10. Bargain or Bust: Tech educates Washington; government arms you—renegotiate dynamically, or China's standards rewrite global rules.



The Juice of Golden Knowledge (g-f GK)

The grand bargain's essence: Tech pours AI into national security's veins; government floods the system with power, brains, and shields. This alchemy doesn't just sustain U.S. lead—it multiplies it exponentially, turning AI from joyless boom to joyous dominion. g-f Responsible Leaders: Broker this pact in your boardrooms—energy deregulation for model access, talent visas for ethical testing. Execute, and you don't just win the race; you own the track, the rules, and the finish line forever.



Conclusion

g-f(2)3844 elevates Foreign Affairs' urgent plea into a g-f war cry: America's AI edge is a sandcastle against China's tide—unless the grand bargain fortifies it into an unbreakable citadel. For g-f Responsible Leaders, this is non-negotiable: Forge the pact, fuse private fire with public steel, and claim the Digital Age throne. Fail, and Beijing's fusion devours your legacy. The bargain isn't optional—it's the g-f Transformation Game's masterstroke. Strike it now; rule eternally.





📚 REFERENCES
The g-f GK Context for g-f(2)3844 The New Manhattan Project


The Public-Private Pact Required to Keep AI American


  1. Ben Buchanan and Tantum Collins, “The AI Grand Bargain: What America Needs to Win the Innovation Race”, Foreign Affairs, November/December 2025, Vol. 104, No. 6 → Primary source and trigger for g-f(2)3844 [https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/artificial-intelligence-grand-bargain-buchanan-collins]
  2. g-f(2)3842 — The Joyless AI Revolution: Why Wealth Without Human Flourishing Is a Strategic Failure (November 19, 2025) → The human flourishing imperative that must undergird any grand bargain
  3. g-f(2)3843 — From Joyless Boom to Unbreakable Empire: 10 Strategic Triggers Every g-f Leader Must Pull Now (November 19, 2025) → The leadership framework for executing public-private pacts at scale
  4. Anthropic, “Build AI in America: Energy Report” (July 2025) → The 50GW power crunch by 2028 that demands immediate deregulation [https://www.anthropic.com/news/build-ai-in-america]
  5. Center for Security and Emerging Technology (CSET), “Voices of Innovation: Leading AI Researchers in the United States” (August 2023, updated 2025) → 70% of top AI researchers (2010–2021) foreign-born; 65% of leading AI firms have immigrant co-founders [https://cset.georgetown.edu/publication/voices-of-innovation/]
  6. U.S. Department of Justice, “Former Google Engineer Charged With Theft of Artificial Intelligence Trade Secrets” (March 6, 2024) → Linwei Ding case: Chinese espionage stealing AI chip designs [https://www.theverge.com/2024/3/6/24092750/google-engineer-indictment-ai-trade-secrets-china-doj]
  7. National Energy Administration of China & Ember, “China’s Renewable Energy Deployment 2025” (ongoing reports) → China installing ~90GW clean energy monthly—twice U.S. output [https://www.technologyreview.com/2025/07/10/1119941/china-energy-dominance-three-charts/]
  8. White House, “Executive Order on the Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence” (October 30, 2023; implemented 2024) → Bans human rights abuses in AI models; ethical guardrails for national security [https://bidenwhitehouse.archives.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2023/10/30/executive-order-on-the-safe-secure-and-trustworthy-development-and-use-of-artificial-intelligence/]
  9. DARPA, “AI Cyber Challenge (AIxCC) Final Competition Procedures and Scoring Guide” (2025) → DoD's lag in AI adoption; cyber-ops and logistics gains via frontier models [https://www.darpa.mil/news/2025/ai-cyber-challenge-scoring]
  10. NAFSA: Association of International Educators, “Preliminary Research on International Enrollment Impacts” (2025) → 30–40% talent exodus risk from visa policies like H-1B fees [https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/artificial-intelligence-grand-bargain-buchanan-collins] (cited in article)

These 10 references forge the g-f GK chain that transforms Foreign Affairs' urgent blueprint into executable empire strategy. g-f Responsible Leaders: Cite this arsenal to broker the pact—before Beijing does.



ABOUT THE AUTHORS


🧠 Ben Buchanan

Ben Buchanan is the Dmitri Alperovitch Assistant Professor at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS).
From 2021 to 2025, he served in multiple senior roles in the White House, including as Special Adviser for Artificial Intelligence. His work bridges technology, national security, and policy, focusing on how AI and cybersecurity intersect with global strategy. Buchanan has previously written and advised on AI governance, cybersecurity policy, and innovation systems for democratic resilience.

⚙️ Tantum Collins

Tantum Collins served as Director for Technology and National Security on the U.S. National Security Council (NSC) from 2023 to 2025.
He specializes in the strategic and security implications of emerging technologies, particularly artificial intelligence. His background combines experience in public policy, technology strategy, and national defense innovation, contributing to high-level efforts that align AI development with U.S. security and ethical interests.


Extended Professional Biographies


🧠 Ben Buchanan — Extended Professional Biography


Ben Buchanan is a leading global authority on the intersection of artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, and national security strategy. He holds the Dmitri Alperovitch Assistant Professorship at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS), where he teaches and conducts research on the strategic implications of emerging technologies.

From 2021 to 2025, Buchanan served in senior positions in the White House, including as Special Adviser for Artificial Intelligence, where he played a central role shaping U.S. national AI policy, cross-government AI coordination, and strategic AI investments for democratic competitiveness. His policy portfolio spanned responsible AI development, AI safety, national security applications, democratic governance, and technology alliances.

Before his government service, Buchanan was a faculty member at Georgetown University’s School of Foreign Service and a senior faculty fellow at Harvard University’s Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, where he led research on AI, cyber defense, and adversarial dynamics in information systems.

He is the author of two seminal books:

  • The Hacker and the State — a widely acclaimed analysis of cyber operations as tools of modern geopolitics.
  • The Cybersecurity Dilemma — a foundational work on how states perceive offensive and defensive cyber capabilities.

Buchanan’s research has appeared in prominent venues, including Foreign Affairs, Survival, Journal of Cybersecurity, and major policy reports. He has advised governments, technology leaders, and international organizations on AI governance and has been a frequent voice on strengthening democratic resilience in an era of accelerating technological competition.



⚙️ Tantum Collins — Extended Professional Biography


Tantum Collins is a distinguished expert in technology strategy, national security, and AI governance, with deep experience operating at the intersection of government, academia, and the private sector. From 2023 to 2025, he served as Director for Technology and National Security on the U.S. National Security Council (NSC), where he oversaw major initiatives on AI readiness, defense innovation, and emerging-technology policy.

His work at the NSC focused on aligning rapid advances in artificial intelligence with U.S. strategic goals: strengthening national resilience, ensuring responsible deployment of frontier models, and building international coalitions for safe and democratic AI development.

Collins is co-author of the influential book AI Superpowers: China, Silicon Valley, and the New World Order (written with Kai-Fu Lee), which became a global bestseller and helped shape public understanding of U.S.–China AI competition. His writing has appeared in major international outlets and policy forums, where he analyzes the geopolitical, ethical, and economic implications of frontier technologies.

Collins previously held roles in technology consulting, strategic advisory, and research on innovation ecosystems. He has advised governments, startups, and Fortune 100 companies on how to harness AI responsibly while maintaining competitive advantage. His academic background includes graduate work at the University of Cambridge, where he studied technology policy and international security.

He is widely regarded as one of the most insightful voices on how nations can govern and deploy artificial intelligence in ways that enhance stability, security, and democratic values.




Executive Summary: "The AI Grand Bargain"


Foreign Affairs | “The AI Grand Bargain: What America Needs to Win the Innovation Race” Ben Buchanan & Tantum Collins | November/December 2025

The United States holds a commanding lead in artificial intelligence—fueled by private-sector innovation from firms like OpenAI and Anthropic—but this edge is imperiled by critical bottlenecks in energy, talent, and security. As AI scales, data centers could devour 12% of U.S. electricity by 2030, talent pools (70% foreign-born) face visa restrictions driving a 30–40% exodus, and Chinese espionage threatens to steal breakthroughs. China, meanwhile, surges ahead with state-orchestrated "civil-military fusion," installing twice the clean energy capacity monthly and integrating AI into defense at unprecedented speed.

Core Proposal: The Grand Bargain To avert collapse, the authors call for a sweeping public-private pact, echoing historic triumphs like the Manhattan Project and Internet development: Tech giants commit to embedding AI in national security (e.g., DoD procurement, ethical testing via Biden's 2024 memo) and mitigating risks like bias or misuse. In exchange, Washington must unleash infrastructure—streamlining energy permits for 50 gigawatts of new capacity by 2028, reforming visas to retain global talent, and bolstering cybersecurity defenses. This symbiosis would not only sustain U.S. supremacy but catalyze an AI-driven energy boom, job creation, and ethical global standards.

Strategic Implications Failure risks offshoring AI to autocratic energy havens (repeating 1980s semiconductor errors) and ceding influence to Beijing's censored models, eroding democratic norms worldwide. Success demands agile, bipartisan action: deregulate grids, fund safety hubs like CAISI, and foster constant renegotiation as AI evolves. For leaders, the bargain is non-negotiable—treat AI like 19th-century railroads: private ingenuity with public guardrails to secure prosperity, security, and innovation dominance for generations.




📖 Complementary Knowledge




Executive categorization


Categorization:





The g-f Big Picture of the Digital Age — A Four-Pillar Operating System Integrating Human Intelligence, Artificial Intelligence, and Responsible Leadership for Limitless Growth:


The genioux facts (g-f) Program is humanity’s first complete operating system for conscious evolution in the Digital Age — a systematic architecture of g-f Golden Knowledge (g-f GK) created by Fernando Machuca. It transforms information chaos into structured wisdom, guiding individuals, organizations, and nations from confusion to mastery and from potential to flourishing. 

Its essential innovation — the g-f Big Picture of the Digital Age — is a complete Four-Pillar Symphony, an integrated operating system that unites human intelligence, artificial intelligence, and responsible leadership. The program’s brilliance lies in systematic integration: the map (g-f BPDA) that reveals direction, the engine (g-f IEA) that powers transformation, the method (g-f TSI) that orchestrates intelligence, and the lighthouse (g-f Lighthouse) that illuminates purpose. 

Through this living architecture, the genioux facts Program enables humanity to navigate Digital Age complexity with mastery, integrity, and ethical foresight.



The g-f Illumination Doctrine — A Blueprint for Human-AI Mastery:




Context and Reference of this genioux Fact Post





The genioux facts program has built a robust foundation with over 3,843 Big Picture of the Digital Age posts [g-f(2)1 - g-f(2)3843].


genioux GK Nugget of the Day


"genioux facts" presents daily the list of the most recent "genioux Fact posts" for your self-service. You take the blocks of Golden Knowledge (g-f GK) that suit you to build custom blocks that allow you to achieve your greatness. — Fernando Machuca and Bard (Gemini)


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