g-f(2)2034 Competing in Tempestuous Times: Building Dynamic and Anti-Fragile Strategies

 

genioux Fact post by Fernando Machuca and Claude

Introduction

The article "How to Succeed in an Era of Volatility" examines how the macroeconomic stability of the past decades has given way to a new age of turbulence, necessitating business strategies centered on prediction, adaptability, and resilience to navigate uncertainty.

genioux GK Nugget

"Rather than optimization alone, leaders now require predictive acumen, adaptive dexterity, and shock-absorbing resilience to unlock growth in tempestuous conditions." — Fernando Machuca and Claude

genioux Foundational Fact

By mapping exposures, stress testing scenarios, placing strategic bets, tracking signals, and allocating capital accordingly, companies can pivot from fragile efficiency toward anti-fragile and dynamic strategies fitted for fluctuating futures.

Top 10 genioux Facts

1. Globalization's retreat and other transitions signal a close to the aberrational stability that shaped leadership intuition.
2. Prediction involves generating sharp visions of industry change to reveal competitive openings.
3. Adaptability means altering course faster than rivals based on market signals spotted early.
4. Resilience requires sacrificing some efficiency for redundancy and buffers that provide stability when blindsided.
5. Mapping concentrations of risk and reward clarifies where companies are long on the upside and short on the downside.
6. Scenario planning uncovers plausible extremes to shape productive responses across possibilities.
7. Money follows insight to place bets, options, and no-regrets moves tailored to imagined adversity.
8. Tracking developments grants recognition of when forces merit strategy shifts with conviction.
9. The new era's demands refuse small tweaks as volatility necessitates entirely fresh strategic frameworks.
10. Embracing volatility's inevitability allows for turning its unpredictability from threat to advantage.

Conclusion

Navigating intense uncertainty calls for strategies that balance sharp-eyed prediction, rapid adaptability, and stability-ensuring resilience to construct corporate advantage rather than anxiety in instability.

REFERENCE

The g-f GK Article

Dunigan O’Keeffe, Karen Harris, and Austin Kimson, How to Succeed in an Era of Volatility, Harvard Business Review, From the Magazine (March–April 2024).

Dunigan O’Keeffe

Dunigan O'Keeffe is a partner at Bain & Company, based in San Francisco, and leads the firm's global strategy practice¹. He has over 20 years of consulting experience, working across various regions including India, Japan, Europe, and the United States¹. Dunigan is a business builder focused on helping companies innovate, grow, and rapidly scale while building sustained competitive advantage¹. His work spans corporate strategy, business unit strategy, innovation strategy, and growth-led transformations, including taking bold new products and ventures from seed to scale¹. He has worked extensively with CEOs and corporate leadership teams on how cultivating a Founder’s Mentality is a key foundation for sustained growth². Dunigan advises clients across a range of industries, most recently leading growth strategy engagements in the technology, telecom, financial services, mobility, and advanced manufacturing sectors¹. He holds an MBA from Harvard Business School and a B.A. in philosophy and economics from Williams College¹.

Source: Conversation with Bing, 3/3/2024

(1) Dunigan O'Keeffe - Management Consultant | Bain & Company. https://www.bain.com/our-team/dunigan-okeeffe/.

(2) Dunigan O'Keeffe: The Founder's Mentality 100—How ... - Bain & Company. https://www.bain.com/insights/dunigan-okeeffe-founders-mentality-100-video/.

(3) Ron Kermisch and Dunigan O’Keeffe Talk Next ... - Bain & Company. https://www.bain.com/insights/ron-dunigan-whiteboard-innovators/.

Karen Harris

Karen Harris is the managing director of Bain & Company's Macro Trends Group (MTG) and a partner based in New York¹. The MTG is a capability group that develops Bain's insights about global macroeconomics, macro social trends, and geopolitics as they impact the results of their clients¹. Harris frequently works with institutional investors to embed macro strategy into their investment strategies and due diligence efforts¹. She holds an M.B.A., with distinction, from Harvard Business School and a J.D. from Columbia Law School. She also holds bachelor's degrees in economics and international relations, with honors, from Stanford University¹. Harris is regularly featured in major media outlets, including The Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, Harvard Business Review, Forbes, Economic Times of India, Caijing China, and CEO Forum Australia, Bloomberg and FOX Television¹. She is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations, the National Committee on US-China Relations, and the Economics Club of New York¹. She also serves on the Board of Helen Keller International, a global non-profit focusing on health and nutrition¹.

Source: Conversation with Bing, 3/3/2024

(1) Karen Harris - Management Consultant | Bain & Company. https://www.bain.com/our-team/karen-harris/.

(2) Karen Harris | World Economic Forum. https://www.weforum.org/people/karen-harris/.

(3) Karen Harris - Master in Design Engineering at Harvard. https://mde.harvard.edu/karen-harris/.

Austin Kimson

Austin Kimson is the chief economist at Bain & Company and a vice president based in Dallas¹. He is also the co-founder of Bain's Macro Trends Group (MTG), a capability group that develops Bain's insights about global macroeconomics, macro social trends, and geopolitics as they impact the results of Bain’s clients³. His work involves helping companies understand and navigate the global macro environment to make informed strategic decisions¹. Kimson's insights and expertise play a crucial role in shaping the firm's understanding of global macroeconomic and geopolitical trends³.

Source: Conversation with Bing, 3/3/2024

(1) Why the Automation Boom Could Be Followed by a Bust. https://hbr.org/2018/03/why-the-automation-boom-could-be-followed-by-a-bust.

(2) The Coming Great Transformation in the Global Macro Environment .... https://www.familyoffice.com/insights/coming-great-transformation-global-macro-environment.

(3) How to Succeed in an Era of Volatility - Harvard Business Review. https://hbr.org/2024/03/how-to-succeed-in-an-era-of-volatility.

Copilot's Summary

The Harvard Business Review article "How to Succeed in an Era of Volatility" discusses the shift from a period of macrostability characterized by peaceful geopolitics, falling interest rates, expanding credit markets, and moderate inflation, to an era of volatility¹. In this new era, the rules have changed and the intuitions that leaders have developed over the past few decades may no longer be useful¹.

The article emphasizes that this volatile environment requires an approach to strategy that integrates bold investments in three capabilities: prediction, adaptability, and resilience¹. It provides guidance on how best to allocate resources across these three capabilities¹.

The authors highlight the importance of strategic foresight and operational flexibility, using the example of the Texas-based regional supermarket chain H-E-B, which was well-prepared for the Covid-19 pandemic due to its proactive measures¹. The article underscores the vulnerability of businesses that do not prioritize these aspects¹.

Source: Conversation with Bing, 3/3/2024

(1) How to Succeed in an Era of Volatility - Harvard Business Review. https://hbr.org/2024/03/how-to-succeed-in-an-era-of-volatility.

(2) How Fast Should Your Company Really Grow? - Harvard Business Review. https://hbr.org/2024/03/how-fast-should-your-company-really-grow.

(3) How to Succeed in an Era of Volatility - store.hbr.org. https://store.hbr.org/product/how-to-succeed-in-an-era-of-volatility/S24023.

(4) How to Be a Better Leader Amid Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity, and .... https://hbr.org/2023/09/how-to-be-a-better-leader-amid-volatility-uncertainty-complexity-and-ambiguity.

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References

“genioux facts”: The online program on "MASTERING THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE”, g-f(2)2034, Fernando Machuca and Claude, March 1, 2024, Genioux.com Corporation.

 

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